gemseo / mlearning / regression

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gpr module

Gaussian process regression model.

Overview

The Gaussian process regression (GPR) model expresses the model output as a weighted sum of kernel functions centered on the learning input data:

\[y = \mu + w_1\kappa(\|x-x_1\|;\epsilon) + w_2\kappa(\|x-x_2\|;\epsilon) + ... + w_N\kappa(\|x-x_N\|;\epsilon)\]

Details

The GPR model relies on the assumption that the original model \(f\) to replace is an instance of a Gaussian process (GP) with mean \(\mu\) and covariance \(\sigma^2\kappa(\|x-x'\|;\epsilon)\).

Then, the GP conditioned by the learning set \((x_i,y_i)_{1\leq i \leq N}\) is entirely defined by its expectation:

\[\hat{f}(x) = \hat{\mu} + \hat{w}^T k(x)\]

and its covariance:

\[\hat{c}(x,x') = \hat{\sigma}^2 - k(x)^T K^{-1} k(x')\]

where \([\hat{\mu};\hat{w}]=([1_N~K]^T[1_N~K])^{-1}[1_N~K]^TY\) with \(K_{ij}=\kappa(\|x_i-x_j\|;\hat{\epsilon})\), \(k_i(x)=\kappa(\|x-x_i\|;\hat{\epsilon})\) and \(Y_i=y_i\).

The correlation length vector \(\epsilon\) is estimated by numerical non-linear optimization.

Surrogate model

The expectation \(\hat{f}\) is the surrogate model of \(f\).

Error measure

The standard deviation \(\hat{s}\) is a local error measure of \(\hat{f}\):

\[\hat{s}(x):=\sqrt{\hat{c}(x,x)}\]

Interpolation or regression

The GPR model can be regressive or interpolative according to the value of the nugget effect \(\alpha\geq 0\) which is a regularization term applied to the correlation matrix \(K\). When \(\alpha = 0\), the surrogate model interpolates the learning data.

Dependence

The GPR model relies on the GaussianProcessRegressor class of the scikit-learn library.

class gemseo.mlearning.regression.gpr.GaussianProcessRegressor(data, transformer=mappingproxy({}), input_names=None, output_names=None, kernel=None, bounds=None, alpha=1e-10, optimizer='fmin_l_bfgs_b', n_restarts_optimizer=10, random_state=0)[source]

Bases: BaseRandomProcessRegressor

Gaussian process regression model.

Parameters:
  • data (IODataset) – The learning dataset.

  • transformer (TransformerType) –

    The strategies to transform the variables. The values are instances of BaseTransformer while the keys are the names of either the variables or the groups of variables, e.g. "inputs" or "outputs" in the case of the regression algorithms. If a group is specified, the BaseTransformer will be applied to all the variables of this group. If IDENTITY, do not transform the variables.

    By default it is set to {}.

  • input_names (Iterable[str] | None) – The names of the input variables. If None, consider all the input variables of the learning dataset.

  • output_names (Iterable[str] | None) – The names of the output variables. If None, consider all the output variables of the learning dataset.

  • kernel (Kernel | None) – The kernel specifying the covariance model. If None, use a Matérn(2.5).

  • bounds (__Bounds | Mapping[str, __Bounds] | None) – The lower and upper bounds of the parameter length scales when kernel is None. Either a unique lower-upper pair common to all the inputs or lower-upper pairs for some of them. When bounds is None or when an input has no pair, the lower bound is 0.01 and the upper bound is 100.

  • alpha (float | RealArray) –

    The nugget effect to regularize the model.

    By default it is set to 1e-10.

  • optimizer (str | Callable) –

    The optimization algorithm to find the parameter length scales.

    By default it is set to “fmin_l_bfgs_b”.

  • n_restarts_optimizer (int) –

    The number of restarts of the optimizer.

    By default it is set to 10.

  • random_state (int | None) –

    The random state passed to the random number generator. Use an integer for reproducible results.

    By default it is set to 0.

Raises:

ValueError – When both the variable and the group it belongs to have a transformer.

compute_samples(input_data, n_samples, seed=0)[source]

Sample a random vector from the conditioned Gaussian process.

Parameters:
  • input_data (RealArray) – The \(N\) input points of dimension \(d\) at which to observe the conditioned Gaussian process; shaped as (N, d).

  • n_samples (int) – The number of samples M.

  • seed (int) –

    The seed for reproducible results.

    By default it is set to 0.

Returns:

The output samples per output dimension shaped as (N, M).

Return type:

tuple[RealArray]

predict_std(input_data)[source]

Predict the standard deviation from input data.

The user can specify these input data either as a NumPy array, e.g. array([1., 2., 3.]) or as a dictionary of NumPy arrays, e.g. {'a': array([1.]), 'b': array([2., 3.])}.

If the NumPy arrays are of dimension 2, their i-th rows represent the input data of the i-th sample; while if the NumPy arrays are of dimension 1, there is a single sample.

Parameters:

input_data (DataType) – The input data.

Returns:

The standard deviation at the query points.

Warning

This statistic is expressed in relation to the transformed output space. You can sample the predict() method to estimate it in relation to the original output space if it is different from the transformed output space.

Return type:

RealArray

LIBRARY: ClassVar[str] = 'scikit-learn'

The name of the library of the wrapped machine learning algorithm.

SHORT_ALGO_NAME: ClassVar[str] = 'GPR'

The short name of the machine learning algorithm, often an acronym.

Typically used for composite names, e.g. f"{algo.SHORT_ALGO_NAME}_{dataset.name}" or f"{algo.SHORT_ALGO_NAME}_{discipline.name}".

algo: Any

The interfaced machine learning algorithm.

input_names: list[str]

The names of the input variables.

input_space_center: dict[str, ndarray]

The center of the input space.

property kernel

The kernel used for prediction.

learning_set: Dataset

The learning dataset.

output_names: list[str]

The names of the output variables.

parameters: dict[str, MLAlgoParameterType]

The parameters of the machine learning algorithm.

resampling_results: dict[str, tuple[BaseResampler, list[BaseMLAlgo], list[ndarray] | ndarray]]

The resampler class names bound to the resampling results.

A resampling result is formatted as (resampler, ml_algos, predictions) where resampler is a BaseResampler, ml_algos is the list of the associated machine learning algorithms built during the resampling stage and predictions are the predictions obtained with the latter.

resampling_results stores only one resampling result per resampler type (e.g., "CrossValidation", "LeaveOneOut" and "Boostrap").

transformer: dict[str, BaseTransformer]

The strategies to transform the variables, if any.

The values are instances of BaseTransformer while the keys are the names of either the variables or the groups of variables, e.g. “inputs” or “outputs” in the case of the regression algorithms. If a group is specified, the BaseTransformer will be applied to all the variables of this group.

Examples using GaussianProcessRegressor

GP regression

GP regression

Scaling

Scaling